
So, Japan has enjoyed a long period of safe and peaceful times.
But in the unstable condition it currently is, can we draw a straight line to war? First of all, I am a pacifist, but I don’t intend to ritualistically dream peace and call it a day. Its hard for me to imagine Japan or China at war, but the point of this exercise is to draw up a simple scenario in which war is possible. Having said that, a violent war that suddenly breaks out is unlikely between Japan and China in the modern age.
However, recently some politicians have suggested to place the self-defense force on the Senkaku islands, an series of uninhabited islands that have been under dispute with china since the 70′s. This proposition can lead to war depending on how its carried out.
While Japan claims the Senkaku islands as its own, and probably intend to use the self-defense force as a deterrent against the Chinese government, this is a naively optimistic plan. Just like the government thought that releasing the detained Chinese captain would conclude the senkaku incident, its not reading beyond the optimistic and ideal outcome of their situations. A normal, functioning government would usually do this, but the current Japanese government cannot be easily trusted.
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